Euro Weekly Update - July 8th 2016


With the Brexit vote clouding the view investors found nothing to distinguish the euro from the US dollar or the Swiss franc. The euro was unchanged on the week against the franc and just a dozen ticks behind the dollar. Not surprisingly, the euro made further headway against the benighted British pound, strengthening by another three and a half cents to leave it more than 10% above its level on Referendum Eve.

The euro zone ecostats came in mostly above forecast. Purchasing managers' index readings for manufacturing and services were higher on the month, showing stronger - though still not exactly vibrant - growth in the private sector. Retail sales in Euroland were in line with expectations, rising by 0.4% in May to put them 1.6% higher than the same month last year.

Finanças gains full access to all bank accounts

Finanças gains full access to all bank accountsAll financial institutions in Portugal must now abide by new legislation to provide the tax authorities with customers' account information. It is evident that such legislation only proves that the Portuguese government and lawmakers do not trust its citzens when it comes to income declaration for tax assessment.
All Portuguese financial institutions must hand over all of their customers financial details by 31st July 2017.

Euro Weekly Update - July 1st 2016

MoneycorpEight days ago no one had ever heard of Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon. Even today few would be able to explain it to their mates down the Dog and Duck. But anyone with even half an ear on the news will be aware that it sets out the procedure for a member state to make its departure from the European Union. There is more than one complication with Article 50. For a start it has never been tested.
From the point of view of the European Council the problem is that only the departing country can initiate the process: Britain must resign, it can't be sacked by Brussels. From the standpoint of Westminster it is that exit negotiations can only begin once the trigger has been pulled; pre-negotiation negotiations are not allowed, at least in the opinion of most of the EU presidents.

Blacktower's view on the post-Brexit market


The British electorate has given its verdict on the UK's membership of the European Union in no uncertain terms. In spite of the more emotional appeals to the contrary, this is not a disaster.

Shock & Awe - UK votes to leave

Shock & Awe - UK votes to leaveContrary to many polls and the bookmakers predicting the UK to remain in the EU, but the UK public have voted to leave the EU. Truthfully, many are surprised by the outcome. 

We are likely to see volatility in the currency markets as well as the stock markets for the next few days. At the time of writing, Sterling had not fallen as predicted. Prior to the result announcement, the pound was trading at approximately €1.30 this morning, but as the result was announced, the pound dropped to €1.23, and continues to range between €1.22 and €1.24 against the Euro.

Euro Weekly Update - June 24th 2016

MoneycorpAfter months of campaigning and ensuing result uncertainty, referendum – or neverendum – week was finally upon us. Such has been the level of global interest surrounding this historic vote that most other market influencing variables took a back seat to what has been described as ‘the biggest decision in a generation’.

BREXIT - Myth 5

BREXIT - Myth 5Foreign Investment - Foreign investors will withdraw from the UK if it were to leave the EU.

There are concerns that foreign investors will withdraw from the UK if the country leaves the EU. So far it is difficult to conclude that even the prospect of Brexit is slowing the flow of inward investment - across a number of measures, 2014 was a record year. Surveys indicate that research and development will be the focus of investment projects over the coming years - an area for which the UK is very attractive.

Euro Weekly Update - June 17th 2016

Euro Weekly Update

Until recently investors tended to see the possible departure of Britain from the European Union as a domestic issue. In the last week that parochial view has broadened. Central banks in The United States and Japan both postponed changes to monetary policy, at least in part because of the uncertainties posed by next Thursday's referendum.
At the Bank of Japan some board members "were concerned that even if the BOJ acted this week, the market impact of its move would fade if a 'Brexit' vote rocked global financial markets".
In the States, Federal Reserve chairperson Janet Yellen said it "could have consequences for economic and financial conditions in global financial markets".