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Madrid's gamble backfires - Catalan separatists set to control regional parliament

CatalanCrowdFlagsAccording to a survey based on interviews with 3,000 voters, Ciudadanos will be the most voted for party in the Catalan election. However, independence parties jointly will have grabbed a bigger share of today’s vote which Spain's government had hoped would solidify links between Catalonia and Madrid, not confirm the Catalans' desire for independence.

Pro-unity party, Ciudadanos, will have attracted the most votes but will be unable to form a government in Catalonia as the separatists are highly likely to retain their absolute majority in the regional parliament.

If the exit polls and surveys are proved to be correct, the result from an 80%+ turnout will be a severe blow to Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy whose strategy was that this regional election would return a ‘unity' Catalan executive and quell the separatist movement’s tenet that ‘given the vote, the Catalonian electorate would prefer independence from Madrid.’

The last time the people of Catlonia voted, or tried to vote, was at October 1st's illegal referendum when police and Guardia Civil let loose a barrage of violence on voters attending voting stations. Images of blood-stained women and baton-wielding national police went around the world and increased Rajoy's domestic appeal as a 'hard man' but caused international opprobrium.

Independence was declared after the October vote. Rajoy reacted by sacking the entire Catalan cabinet and dissolved the regional parliament, actions which led to today’s election where the provisional result puts the centrist, pro-unity Ciudadanos in first place but unable to form a government. 

Ciudadanos and former regional president, the exiled Carles Puigdemont’s ‘Junts per Catalunya’ are level pegging for seats in the regional parliament, not exactly the result Rajoy wanted just before Christmas.

UPDATE Friday 22nd December

“As you can see, we are the comeback kids,” Joan Maria Pique, campaign manager in Brussels for the exiled former president Carles Puigdemont.

The unionist centre-right party Ciudadanos, led in Catalonia by Ines Arrimadas, now is the largest force in the regional parliament. Arrimades claimed the result showed the "majority is in favour of union with Spain," and insisted she would continue to fight against independence.

The pro-independence parties secured an absolute majority of 70 seats out of 135, and 47.49% of the vote. The remain unionist bloc took 57 seats, with 43.48% of the vote.

Xavier Garcia Albiol, the candidate for Mariano Rajoy’s PP, which lost eight seats, said this was a “very bad result” for his party and for “the future of Catalonia."

A record 82% of Catalonia's 5.5 million voters came out in the snap poll which aimed to restore an autonomous government two months after Madrid imposed direct rule under Article 155 in due to the October 1st vote and subsequent unilateral declaration of independence.

Catalonia’s sacked president, Carles Puigdemont, has declared the election result a triumph for the independence movement and a blow for direct rule imposed by Madrid. 

“The Spanish state has been defeated, Rajoy and his allies have lost,” said Puigdemont in Brussels who demanded that a legitimate government should be restored and that warrants for the arrest of politicians, including himself, should be torn up and political prisoners arrested and held in jail since October should be released and charged of sedition and rebellion, dropped.

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Comments  

0 #12 Denby 2017-12-26 09:52
Catalonia is not a country it is a province/state within Spain and could not be recognised as a country, no country in the world has recognised it as such.
However, at the beginning of the Catalonian fiasco this year, the separatists made it clear that they wanted the "European union" to recognise their State as a country, which they couldn't
Doesn't sound like Catalonia would have jumped, hand in hand, overboard with the UK into the unknown, give them some credit.
+2 #11 Plain Speaking 2017-12-25 15:20
Quoting Jack Reacher:
The EU ship is sinking. And they that sit in Brussels and Strasbourg know that. 2018 will bring another country to the departure gate once they see how the UK and Catalunia are getting along quite fine without the remainder of the bloc.

I do wish that Brexiteers would decide what they really want get a move on and just leave and cease trying to infect the rest of Europe with their nationalist, nostalgic nonsense.
-1 #10 Jack Reacher 2017-12-25 14:41
The EU ship is sinking. And they that sit in Brussels and Strasbourg know that. 2018 will bring another country to the departure gate once they see how the UK and Catalunia are getting along quite fine without the remainder of the bloc.
+1 #9 Plain Speaking 2017-12-24 08:44
The final results were "The pro-independence parties secured an absolute majority of 70 seats out of 135, and 47.49% of the vote. The remain unionist bloc took 57 seats, with 43.48% of the vote."
Ed. once again you are confusing electoral vote with popular vote. The voting system in Catalonia is biased towards rural, more conservative, zones. For example in Llleida you require only 12770 votes to elect a deputy. In urban Barcelona you require 36390 votes. The power of the separatist parties is in rural areas. The facts of this election are simple. The secessionist parties did indeed win a slender electoral majority. However, the largest single party is Ciudanos, a unionist party. Most importantly and by far the most democratically legitimate for the independence question is that 51.75% of the popular vote went to unionist parties and 48.26% to separatist parties. I state once again. The majority of people in Catalonia do not want independence from Spain. Ironically an almost identical percentage to the Brits who wanted "independence" from the EU. You have to respect the popular vote.
+1 #8 Ed 2017-12-24 08:06
Quoting Ed:
Quoting Plain Speaking:
Ed. your facts are incorrect. The secessionist parties won 48,26% of the popular vote and the unionists 51,75% of the vote. If the elections had been a referendum then a slim majority of Catalans once again, voted to stay part of Spain. It is true that the sum of the secessionist parties have, once again, won a slim majority in Parliament due to an electoral system favouring the more sparsely populated interior to the coastal regions. However, the only thing that these parties have in common is their hatred of Spain and the Spanish, which does not bode well for the future considering that the slim majority of the population that they are supposed to serve would prefer to stay as part of Spain. All that this populist independence movement has achieved is a complete fracture of Catalan society which will take decades to resolve and at extreme economic cost to the region and all of its inhabitants.
I will check when the final, final result is confirmed. All in all, a continuing and troubled picture



The final results were "The pro-independence parties secured an absolute majority of 70 seats out of 135, and 47.49% of the vote. The remain unionist bloc took 57 seats, with 43.48% of the vote."
0 #7 Plain Speaking 2017-12-23 16:47
Quoting Chip:
Quoting Plain Speaking:
However, the only thing that these parties have in common is their hatred of Spain and the Spanish...


You sound like a reluctant anti-Brexit Remainer. Unable to accept a democratic majority and prone to making wild claims that Catalonians hate the Spanish - a bit like the Brexiteers supposed hatred of all foreigners eh?

It clearly hasn't occurred to you that people don't like being governed remotely by politicians that don't represent their interests. Good government is close to home.


By mentioning Brexit you contradict yourself. In Brexit the majority wished to leave Europe. In Catalonia the majority wish to stay part of Spain. Democracy working which has to be respected no matter what your personal opinions are. My own opinion is that Britain is better outside Europe and for sure Europe is, in the long term, better without Britain.
+1 #6 Plain Speaking 2017-12-23 16:36
I also did not say that all Catalonians hate the Spanish. Unfortunately the only thing that the secessionist parties have in common is a hatred of Spain, well documented in their press.
+1 #5 Chip 2017-12-23 11:13
Quoting Plain Speaking:
However, the only thing that these parties have in common is their hatred of Spain and the Spanish...


You sound like a reluctant anti-Brexit Remainer. Unable to accept a democratic majority and prone to making wild claims that Catalonians hate the Spanish - a bit like the Brexiteers supposed hatred of all foreigners eh?

It clearly hasn't occurred to you that people don't like being governed remotely by politicians that don't represent their interests. Good government is close to home.
0 #4 Ed 2017-12-22 17:13
Quoting Plain Speaking:
Ed. your facts are incorrect. The secessionist parties won 48,26% of the popular vote and the unionists 51,75% of the vote. If the elections had been a referendum then a slim majority of Catalans once again, voted to stay part of Spain. It is true that the sum of the secessionist parties have, once again, won a slim majority in Parliament due to an electoral system favouring the more sparsely populated interior to the coastal regions. However, the only thing that these parties have in common is their hatred of Spain and the Spanish, which does not bode well for the future considering that the slim majority of the population that they are supposed to serve would prefer to stay as part of Spain. All that this populist independence movement has achieved is a complete fracture of Catalan society which will take decades to resolve and at extreme economic cost to the region and all of its inhabitants.
I will check when the final, final result is confirmed. All in all, a continuing and troubled picture
-1 #3 Plain Speaking 2017-12-22 16:19
Ed. your facts are incorrect. The secessionist parties won 48,26% of the popular vote and the unionists 51,75% of the vote. If the elections had been a referendum then a slim majority of Catalans once again, voted to stay part of Spain. It is true that the sum of the secessionist parties have, once again, won a slim majority in Parliament due to an electoral system favouring the more sparsely populated interior to the coastal regions. However, the only thing that these parties have in common is their hatred of Spain and the Spanish, which does not bode well for the future considering that the slim majority of the population that they are supposed to serve would prefer to stay as part of Spain. All that this populist independence movement has achieved is a complete fracture of Catalan society which will take decades to resolve and at extreme economic cost to the region and all of its inhabitants.

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