Epidemiological situation in Portugal among the most unfavourable in Europe

113virus situationThe Minister of Health, Marta Temido, made a speech yesterday following a meeting on COVID-19 between Portuguese experts and policy makers, which took place at the Faculty of Medicine of the University of Porto, hammering home that “Portugal is well prepared to face the a phase”.

"Today Portugal is better prepared to face a new phase, we have more resources, more organization, more knowledge. We are facing a complex context" though, she said.

The meeting, open to press, started with an epidemiological analysis made by Pedro Pinto Leite, of the Directorate-General for Health. "It seems to us that it is necessary to reinforce non-pharmacological measures", he said, referring to hygiene and social distancing measures, particularly in the elderly over 80 years old, and young people between 20 and 30 years old, who lead in the incidences of the virus.

Leite ended the presentation by highlighting that the Portuguese lethality rate is stable, standing at 3.1%. The 80+ age group is the most at risk, with a lethality of 19.1%. This was followed by a speech from Ausenda Machado, a specialist at the Ricardo Jorge Institute, who discussed the evolution of the epidemic curve in the country compared to the rest of Europe.

Two indicators are used: the population-adjusted 14-day cumulative incidence and the RT (ratio of transmission per infected person). On July 8, the date of the last meeting at Infarmed, Portugal was below the level of 40 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants and registered an RT below 1.

Currently, both indicators have increased in value at an average countrywide level, meaning that Portugal sits on the list of European countries with the most worrying epidemiological situations, which includes Spain, France, Austria, Croatia and the Czech Republic. Thankfully of these nations, Portugal is the country that has the least “harmful” situation of those on the list, said Ausenda Machado, stressing that the evolution of different countries over the past few months shows constant dynamic activity.

Machado revealed the evolution of RT in the different regions since the last meeting (July).

- In the North, the RT went from 1.08 on 8 July to 1.19 in the last week of August

- In the Centre region, the RT was 0.98 at the beginning of July and is now 1.22

- In Lisbon and Tejo Valley, the RT was 1.1 and is now 1.07

- In Alentejo, it was 0.93 and is now 0.91

- In the Algarve, it was 1.05 and currently stands at 1.08

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+2 #13 Steve 2020-09-11 14:48
Quoting Reg:

Levitt is not an epidemiologist but someone who likes to play around with numbers and (as stated in my comment) got it wrong.

COVID population fatality rate of 0.04 to 0.05% is correct that is the only prediction I am talking about. Prof Levitt and other scientists created a mathematical model to predict the trajectory of cases and deaths. Levitt didn't "play" alone with numbers. If you want to talk about failed predictions why not mention Prof Neil (lockdown) Ferguson, he has managed to get several (all?) of his predictions wrong by a big margin. Foot-and-mouth disease, BSE, swine flu and Covid.
Quoting Reg:
He is also against lockdown but speaks highly of China where, as far as I recall, citizens were forcefully isolated and controlled/watched by drones when they went outside.

Yep he's not the only one against lockdown. China shouldn't take all the credit for drone watching their citizens, you should also include Spain, Australia and even Derbyshire police force.
-2 #12 Reg 2020-09-11 12:15
Quoting Steve:
Quoting Reg:
STEVE, you quote in your comments to JC: "Nobel Prize winner for Science Professor Levitt of Stanford disagrees with you. Population fatality rate of 0.04 to 0.05% is hardly out of control." Are you talking about the same biophysicist who prophesied that Israel would suffer no more than 10 Covid death and that Covid-19 in the States would be over in 4 weeks???

Professor Levitt did predict back in February that the fatality rate would be 0.04 to 0.05% and he was right about that. He wouldn't predict Covid 19 would be over in 4 weeks, it's like saying the flu will never come back again. The pandemic yes it was over in April, it is over when the increase in daily infections starts going down and the increase in fatality starts going down. It is the same with every disease. As for who dies of Covid and how many it is hard to say statistics have been mangled like the statistics for infected cases.

Levitt is not an epidemiologist but someone who likes to play around with numbers and (as stated in my comment) got it wrong. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Levitt. He is also against lockdown but speaks highly of China where, as far as I recall, citizens were forcefully isolated and controlled/watched by drones when they went outside.
-3 #11 Chip 2020-09-11 10:46
Quoting Norman L:
Maybe you aren't keeping a straight face and we just can't see it because you're wearing a mask, helping to stop the spread.


I suspect that Mork & Mindy haven't left their keyboards since March, let alone their homes.
-4 #10 Norman L 2020-09-11 09:15
Quoting Steve:
Quoting Reg:
STEVE, you quote in your comments to JC: "Nobel Prize winner for Science Professor Levitt of Stanford disagrees with you. Population fatality rate of 0.04 to 0.05% is hardly out of control." Are you talking about the same biophysicist who prophesied that Israel would suffer no more than 10 Covid death and that Covid-19 in the States would be over in 4 weeks???

Professor Levitt did predict back in February that the fatality rate would be 0.04 to 0.05% and he was right about that. He wouldn't predict Covid 19 would be over in 4 weeks, it's like saying the flu will never come back again. The pandemic yes it was over in April, it is over when the increase in daily infections starts going down and the increase in fatality starts going down. It is the same with every disease. As for who dies of Covid and how many it is hard to say statistics have been mangled like the statistics for infected cases.


How anyone can keep a straight face while saying that the pandemic was over in April beats me. Daily infections in most if not all European countries are on the up not to mention elsewhere in the world. True, deaths aren't so bad, because doctors have developed new ways to tackle patients with it. Maybe you aren't keeping a straight face and we just can't see it because you're wearing a mask, helping to stop the spread.
+4 #9 Steve 2020-09-10 16:35
Quoting Reg:
STEVE, you quote in your comments to JC: "Nobel Prize winner for Science Professor Levitt of Stanford disagrees with you. Population fatality rate of 0.04 to 0.05% is hardly out of control." Are you talking about the same biophysicist who prophesied that Israel would suffer no more than 10 Covid death and that Covid-19 in the States would be over in 4 weeks???

Professor Levitt did predict back in February that the fatality rate would be 0.04 to 0.05% and he was right about that. He wouldn't predict Covid 19 would be over in 4 weeks, it's like saying the flu will never come back again. The pandemic yes it was over in April, it is over when the increase in daily infections starts going down and the increase in fatality starts going down. It is the same with every disease. As for who dies of Covid and how many it is hard to say statistics have been mangled like the statistics for infected cases.
-2 #8 Reg 2020-09-10 12:50
STEVE, you quote in your comments to JC: "Nobel Prize winner for Science Professor Levitt of Stanford disagrees with you. Population fatality rate of 0.04 to 0.05% is hardly out of control." Are you talking about the same biophysicist who prophesied that Israel would suffer no more than 10 Covid death and that Covid-19 in the States would be over in 4 weeks???
-5 #7 Norman L 2020-09-10 11:16
Quoting David:
Total nonsense. Positive tests are not cases, as most are not symptomatic and therefore don't have covid. The media and politicians are deliberately trolling the population now. Some just won't wake up no matter how absurd the rules and propaganda become.

https://coronacircus.com/2020/07/31/peak-circus/


Since you keep posting the same denialist nonsense we can only assume that you either haven't heard of (unlikely) or are deliberately ignoring (probably) the concept of healthy carrier.
-4 #6 Chip 2020-09-10 09:59
Quoting Norman L:
I thought you two would be along shortly. Between two very extreme views maybe the government isn't doing too badly after all. As for the WHO and their financial backers, if ... oh no, I can't be bothered. Wading through your rubbish is unhealthy.

Well said Norman. Hilarious that one of them accuses the government of trolling :-)
+1 #5 Norman L 2020-09-09 19:46
I thought you two would be along shortly. Between two very extreme views maybe the government isn't doing too badly after all. As for the WHO and their financial backers, if ... oh no, I can't be bothered. Wading through your rubbish is unhealthy.
+3 #4 Steve 2020-09-09 15:40
Quoting JC:

They have lost control and the the virus is now growing exponentially.
Nobel Prize winner for Science Professor Levitt of Stanford disagrees with you. Population fatality rate of 0.04 to 0.05% is hardly out of control. Unless you are talking about the other illness called psychological Covid that is out of control.
Quoting JC:

In my opinion those that propagated those lies are criminals and should face heavy jail sentences for risking the lives of untold numbers of people.

Agree that some should face jail sentences but it's those who exaggerated the threat of this illness and forced lockdowns on populations across the world. I would start with investigating the WHO and their financial backers.

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