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The Pound suffered this morning, trading narrowly lower against the USD as an upbeat market mood was offset by UK recession woes.

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As the first full week of the month fets into full swing- we have a pretty quiet Monday with it being Labor day in the U.S- the only key release will be a speech from ECB President Lagarde, markets are quite torn on whether the ECB will raise rates again so this speech may provide some insight into the ECB’s thoughts before the next rate decision.

Inflation is the main talking point today with Euro-Zone inflation due out at 10am this morning. Yesterday Germany released their August Inflation figures, with a slight decline from 6.2% in July to 6.1% last month.

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We had a pretty interesting week on markets with the Jackson Hole Symposium being a non event with no real policy change announced, the FOMC maintained that they will hike rates again if they feel it is necessary, but this will be entirely data-driven.

From Monday-Thursday Sterling actually performed pretty well on the week, with Pound to Euro rate reaching 1.1730 and the Pound to Dollar rate hitting 1.28. Unfortunately, on Friday morning, weak UK retail sales showed a fall of -1.2% which brought Sterling down slightly which also dampened forecasts slightly.